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DTN analog-year analysis finds that a transition from La Niña to a strong El Niño by late 2026 has historically coincided with large US corn crops. The analysis picks 2023, 2015 and 2009 as the closest analogs.
It points to favorable summer temperatures and precipitation.
A large expected US corn crop is bearish for corn prices. Feed buyers may see softer corn costs if the pattern plays out, although the outlook is still months away.
dtnpf.comBryce Anderson2026年2月18日在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
