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ICE Brent fell more than 13% on March 9, 2022, to near $111 a barrel, as Ukrainian government comments about willingness to compromise to end the war triggered a broad sell-off in Russia-exposed commodities. The EIA reported US crude inventories fell 4.39 million barrels, with distillate stocks down 5.23 million barrels, and reports of UAE comments on OPEC+ output added to the volatility.
Oil prices are highly sensitive to Russia-Ukraine headlines, so energy and freight costs for feed can swing sharply on peace or escalation news. Falling distillate stocks partly offset the price drop and keep diesel costs elevated.
think.ing.comWarren Patterson2022年3月10日在过去 250 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -3.1%（36% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.9% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 255 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%（31% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -7.0% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -5.0%。
在过去 51 次看跌的地缘政治事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -2.4%（37% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -8.2% 至 +3.9%），20 个交易日内为 -2.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Links the Brent sell-off to Ukrainian willingness to compromise, which cut the war risk premium, plus the UAE OPEC+ comments.
Ukrainian willingness to compromise triggered a broad sell-off in Russia-exposed commodities, cutting the geopolitical risk premium.
