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Urea hit a 13-year high in Australian dollar terms, and glyphosate rose to about A$11/kg from A$5/kg two years earlier. Chinese national authorities announced phosphate production changes, and state-owned phosphate producers were ordered to stop exporting.
Hurricane Ida also disrupted logistics.
Australia sources most of its MAP and DAP from China and most of its urea from the Middle East, so the export halt and high urea prices raise input costs for Australian grain and feed producers.
en.boerenbusiness.nlNiels van der Boom2021年9月30日
queenslandcountrylife.com.auBrandon Long2021年10月1日
wsj.com2021年9月29日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 151 次看涨的政策事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
On 29 Sep, reports that Chinese state-owned phosphate producers were ordered to stop exports, plus Hurricane Ida logistics disruption, tightened supply and drove DAP higher.
Confirms that Chinese state-owned phosphate producers were ordered to stop exports and that Hurricane Ida disrupted logistics, which adds to supply-side and sentiment pressure on DAP on the move date.
Urea at a 13-year high, China's export restrictions and Ida logistics disruption added to supply-side tightness and sentiment.
