
Soybean oil futures reached an all-time high of 73.74 cents in early June, then fell to 58.12 cents a couple of weeks later, a 21% drop. The decline followed a Reuters report that U.S. senators asked the Biden administration to cut biofuel blending mandates.
DTN's Todd Hultman says the year-long rally may be over.
Possible cuts to biofuel blending mandates threaten the main demand driver for soyoil, which weighs on crush margins and canola prices. Lower vegetable oil values reduce the incentive to crush soybeans, bearing on meal supply.
在过去 206 次中性的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。