
Oklahoma State economist Derrell Peel argues that proposed government mandates on negotiated cash cattle trade would not lift producer prices and could add transaction costs. He notes packer margins have been far above feeder returns, with cutout values above $300/cwt while fed cattle struggled near $120/cwt.
The gap is attributed to the herd liquidation and plant closures.
Mandates could raise costs and possibly lower cattle prices, while the packer-producer margin gap keeps pressure on feeder returns. Price outcomes depend on whether policy changes reach the market.
在过去 102 次中性的政策事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 28 次中性的政策事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。