
U.S. Wheat Associates reports that hot, dry weather in the northern U.S. and Canada has cut spring wheat and durum prospects, while HRW and SRW yields are expected higher. USDA's July world wheat estimate was 792.4 million tonnes, and the IGC's was 788 million tonnes, both still record levels.
Drought losses in the northern Plains and Canada tighten spring wheat and durum supplies, supporting prices ahead of USDA's August report. Higher HRW and SRW output partly offsets this, limiting the net gain.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 29 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。