
Hurricane Ida caused damage to urea and DAP supply chains, pushing Australian-dollar DAP from A$899 to A$970/t and urea from A$468 to A$585/t since mid-August. US prices have risen far above other origins such as the Middle East and China, widening the spread.
Prices do not include freight to Australia.
The widening US premium over other origins signals tight global nitrogen and phosphate supply, which supports fertilizer costs for feed producers. Whether the spike persists depends on how quickly US Gulf logistics recover.
在过去 49 次看涨的物流事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 31 次看涨的物流事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。