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Fertilizer prices have reached their highest levels in years, with urea in New Orleans hitting its highest since 2012 and DAP at its most expensive since 2008. Extreme weather, plant shutdowns and new government sanctions have all tightened supply this year.
Farmers are cutting application rates or delaying purchases.
Higher fertilizer costs can reduce application rates and planted acreage, which threatens yields and raises feed grain prices into next year. Analysts expect the cost pressure to pass through to food prices.
farmprogress.comBloomberg2021年9月21日在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Urea in New Orleans at its highest since 2012 reflects tight supply, though it predates the final-week surge.
