Argentine farm groups are discussing a grains trade strike to protest an extension of the beef export cap until the end of October. The Cattle Site reports that Argentina is the world's top processed soy exporter and that beef prices are up almost 40% this year.
The farm bodies are also considering a halt to cattle trading.
A grain sales strike would reduce Argentine soybean, meal and corn export flows and support world prices, while beef export restrictions weigh on Argentine cattle prices. The strike is only under discussion, so the effect depends on whether it goes ahead.
在过去 356 次看涨的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 172 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
在过去 30 次看跌的政策事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。