
Cattle futures fell sharply from mid-October highs after President Trump announced a plan to lower beef prices for consumers on Oct. 16.
Live cattle lost about $30 and feeder cattle nearly $70 by Nov. 6 as speculators liquidated positions.
Analysts said supply and demand fundamentals remained unchanged.
The selloff reflects policy-driven fear rather than tighter or looser supply, so feeder and live cattle prices are exposed to further headline risk. Buyers should expect volatility to persist until intervention details are clear.
在过去 30 次看跌的政策事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 24 次看跌的政策事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。