Argentina's informal peso weakened 2.05% to 195 per dollar on Friday, and its country risk spread widened 19 basis points to an all-time high of 1,672. The peso fell 4.36% over the week as inflation hit 3.5% in September, with a 52.5% annual rate, ahead of November congressional elections.
A weaker peso makes Argentine soybean and meal exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can encourage farmer selling and pressure world soymeal and soybean prices. Persistent currency stress also raises the risk of a sharper devaluation later.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。