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Argentina's government let the peso plunge over 50% to about 801 per dollar on December 13 as markets cautiously welcomed the first details of President Javier Milei's economic overhaul. Non-deliverable forwards priced in further weakness, and bonds rose on average.
A sharp peso devaluation makes Argentine exports cheaper in dollar terms, which can speed soybean meal and oil export selling and weigh on Argentine crush and world meal prices. It also raises the cost of imported feed inputs in Argentina.
在过去 117 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 40 次看跌的宏观事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。