
Reuters reported that the European Commission proposed a law to block imports of commodities linked to deforestation, requiring companies to prove their global supply chains do not contribute to forest destruction. Non-compliant companies could face fines of up to 4% of their EU turnover, and the rules cover soy, beef, palm oil, wood, cocoa and coffee.
Mandatory due diligence and possible fines could make importers more cautious about sourcing soy and palm oil from high-risk areas, which may tighten EU supply and shift trade flows. The impact depends on how strictly the rules are enforced.
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 400 次看跌的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 102 次中性的政策事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。