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The EU Commission's JRC MARS bulletin for December says autumn weather has been mostly fair, allowing winter crops to establish. Frost hardening is weaker than usual across central, eastern and south-eastern Europe, especially in the Black Sea region, though no frost damage has been detected so far.
Weak frost hardening and delayed development raise the risk of winter kill if a cold snap arrives, which would tighten wheat supplies and support prices.
joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu2021年12月13日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
