
ABARES says the 2017-18 winter crop harvest held up better than feared in Western Australia, Victoria and South Australia, while Queensland and NSW output came in below downgraded forecasts. Summer planting area is up slightly at 1.3 million hectares, but soil moisture is well below average and worsening.
Irrigation water storage is about a third lower than a year earlier.
Dry soils and weak summer prospects raise the risk of further supply shortfalls in sorghum and other feed grains, which would support local feed prices. The outlook depends on rainfall over the rest of the season.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。