加载中…
The EU has finalized anti-dumping duties on Russian and Belarusian fertilizers, pushing Russian urea to other markets. China is set to resume urea exports, though shipments may take about 60 days for customs processing, and Chinese product is reportedly barred from India's 1.5 Mt tender closing June 12.
Trade restrictions on Russian supply and limited Chinese flows tighten global urea availability, supporting prices. Higher nitrogen costs raise corn and wheat production costs over the medium term.
czapp.comStein Chingen Haugan2025年6月2日在过去 176 次看涨的贸易事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.4%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 480 次中性的贸易事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Dated on the move day: China resuming urea exports and being barred from India's 1.5 Mt tender point to more supply and less demand for Chinese product, a bearish shift in trade flow expectations, though a -19% one-day drop is far larger than this alone explains.
China resuming urea exports and being barred from India's tender, plus Russian urea redirected by EU duties, adds supply to non-India markets and removes buyers' fear of scarcity, a bearish driver.
China resuming exports, Russian urea being redirected to other markets, and Chinese product barred from India's tender add supply to non-India markets, bearish for prices.
It says China is set to resume urea exports and that Chinese product is barred from India's tender, while Russian urea is redirected to other markets, adding supply-side bearish pressure and uncertainty.
