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Donald Trump's election victory raised expectations of expanded tariffs, including proposed tariffs of up to 20pc on all foreign goods and 60pc on Chinese imports. US Gulf corn and soybean FOB prices rose only slightly on 6 November, and some buyers are avoiding long-term soybean contracts.
Tariff risk to China and other key export markets adds a risk premium and discourages forward buying, which weighs on export demand. Price moves so far have been minimal as the market waits for policy clarity.
在过去 480 次中性的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。