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Bloomberg reports that the cost of fertilizer for European spring crops has risen sharply, making winter crop nutrient applications more expensive. Higher costs could prompt farmers to reduce spring plantings, which account for roughly a third of European grain area.
Smaller European spring plantings would reduce grain supply and could support wheat, barley and feed prices, especially if combined with higher input costs.
在过去 57 次看涨的宏观事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(65% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 92 次看涨的宏观事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +3.6%),20 个交易日内为 +4.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。