
StoneX's March 2024 phosphate outlook says global phosphate values are likely flat near term but could soften within about 60 days as demand dries up seasonally. It also cites signs that China is returning as a normal exporter.
North American phosphate prices are expected to fall, though likely after spring application season.
Resumed Chinese phosphate exports add supply to the global market just as seasonal demand fades, which points to lower DAP prices and weaker feed-phosphate costs ahead.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 176 次看涨的贸易事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 40 次看跌的贸易事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.7% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。