
Analysts at the Indonesian Palm Oil Conference said Indonesia's B30 biofuel mandate, effective January 2020, will raise domestic palm oil consumption. They forecast Rotterdam palm oil prices of $650 to $700 per ton for January to June 2020, up from a decade low of $507 last year.
Thomas Mielke warned that any small drop in export supply would tighten the world market.
Mandated domestic biodiesel use removes palm oil from export markets, which can lift global vegetable oil prices. Palm oil is hard to replace, so supply shortfalls have outsized price effects.
在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 842 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Indonesia's B30 mandate from January 2020 raises domestic consumption and cuts export supply, with analysts forecasting higher prices.
The B30 mandate effective January 2020 raises Indonesian domestic consumption and cuts export availability, with analysts forecasting higher prices.