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Oxford Economics says the renminbi has held steady despite China's economic slowdown and the Russia-Ukraine war, and expects it to remain durable in the first half of 2022. It expects weakness in the second half as policy divergence with the US and a smaller current account surplus weigh on the currency.
A forecast of a weaker yuan in the second half would modestly lower China's dollar cost of imported feed inputs, with limited near-term price impact.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。