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Oxford Economics research says domestic fundamentals drive renminbi movements more than external factors such as rate differentials. It expects the currency to stay near historical highs into 2024 because of dollar strength, credit stress and further rate cuts.
The analysis suggests persistent yuan strength or weakness will depend on domestic credit and rate policy, which shapes the dollar cost of Chinese feed imports. The outlook gives no immediate price shock for feed commodities.
oxfordeconomics.comJiawen Cui2023年10月16日在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后，人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%），20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
