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A USDA GAIN report projects China's 2022 hog production at 665 million head, up 2% from 2021, with pork output rising 5% to 50 million tonnes. Breeding swine imports are estimated at 20,000 head and pork imports at 3.3 million tonnes.
Domestic pork prices are expected to stay low in 2022 as producers compete for share.
Expanding Chinese hog numbers support a larger feed demand base over time, but low hog prices weigh on producer margins and may temper herd growth. The outlook for weak pork prices points to pressure on hog values.
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。