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Global natural gas prices are rising to levels not seen in over a decade, with Russia's war in Ukraine blamed for high European energy prices. The scramble for non-Russian supply has pushed U.S. prices to roughly double since the start of the year.
The analysis suggests much of the price is a risk premium rather than a physical shortage, so prices could ease if supply fears fade, but spikes remain possible while the war continues. Higher gas feeds into nitrogen fertilizer costs.
energypolicy.columbia.edu2022年4月19日在过去 136 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.7%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +8.8%），20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
