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The WMO says there is a high probability the ongoing La Niña will last until at least August and possibly into northern hemisphere autumn and winter. Some long-range forecasts suggest it could persist into 2023, which would make it a rare triple-dip event.
The event has already worsened drought and flooding in several regions.
A prolonged La Niña increases the chance of weather-related crop losses in South America, the US and East Africa. That supports grain and oilseed prices and keeps feed input costs firm.
wmo.int2022年6月8日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
