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A market column says a La Niña event could bring warm, dry weather to the US Midwest this summer, following the current El Niño. NOAA gives a 62% chance of La Niña from June to August.
Subsoil moisture is low after several years of below-average rainfall, so drier spring weather could again require timely rain for strong yields.
Dry Midwest conditions threaten corn and soybean yields, which would tighten supplies and support feed grain and meal prices.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。