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A University of Tennessee economist writes that cattle prices are expected to rise in 2023 and likely for a couple of years after, due to reduced heifer and cow retention. A smaller calf crop in 2023 and 2024 is expected, with drought-driven herd reductions a further factor.
Expectations of a shrinking beef herd support higher cattle prices ahead, which raises feeder cattle costs and the value of feed sold into longer-term feedlot demand.
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 21 次看涨的宏观事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。