Coceral's first forecast puts EU grains output in 2023 at 282.5 million tonnes, up about 21 million from 2022 and near 2021's 287.8 million. The European Commission's Mars bureau said a cold snap around November 20 had tested autumn-sown crops, though frost damage so far has been minor, mainly in central and eastern Germany and Poland.
Expected recovery in EU supply would soften European grain prices, while frost risk to winter crops is a watch item that could firm prices if damage widens.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。