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Goldman Sachs expects OPEC's pricing power to limit downside risk to oil prices, forecasting 2.7 million bpd of 2023 demand growth and Brent reaching $105 by Q4. The bank says OPEC could keep or deepen its October cuts if demand softens.
A bullish bank forecast with OPEC support points to higher energy input costs through 2023, although it is an analyst view rather than a supply shock.
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。