
Goldman Sachs attributes the July 2023 oil price rally mainly to China's demand recovery and expected stimulus, and says demand outside China is holding up better than feared. The bank reiterated a 12-month Brent target of $93 per barrel and upgraded its demand outlook, with Brent trading above $85.
Stronger crude prices raise diesel and energy costs for feed milling and transport, and oil-linked biofuel economics can pull vegetable oil and corn demand. Expectations of an OPEC+-driven deficit point to continued upward pressure on energy input costs.
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。