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An analyst told the Jakarta Post that Indonesia's decision to suspend some palm oil export permits would have a negligible effect on global prices. Malaysian crude palm oil rose 1.5% in the days after the rule was announced, but the gain faded.
The analyst set resistance at 4,200 to 4,400 ringgit a tonne and warned of a fall toward 3,500 to 3,700 ringgit if a negative catalyst appeared.
The export tightening is a real supply risk from the largest palm producer, but the market is treating it as a limited shock. Buyers should price in only modest, short-lived palm support unless Indonesia expands the restrictions.
pwc.comPricewaterhouseCoopers2023年2月14日在过去 67 次中性的贸易事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
