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Fitch Solutions expects the global palm oil market to run a narrow 100,000-tonne deficit in 2022/23, the first annual net deficit since 2015/16. The deficit is driven by Indonesia's higher biofuel blending mandate, which it projects will cut Indonesian exports.
Fitch keeps its RM3,800 per tonne 2023 price forecast with upside risks.
A tighter global balance from Indonesian biodiesel demand reduces export supply and supports palm oil prices. Feed buyers should expect firm vegetable oil prices through 2023.
在过去 149 次看涨的报告事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。