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Thomas Mielke of ISTA Mielke said Malaysian palm oil production will drop slightly in 2020 from 20.5 million tonnes in 2019. He expected Indonesian output to slow growth to 45.4 million tonnes, and said global palm oil supply will fall short of demand.
China is also increasing vegetable oil imports due to lower domestic soybean crushing.
A forecast global palm oil deficit and rising Chinese import demand support higher vegetable oil prices. Tighter oil supply raises costs for oil-based feed ingredients.
malaymail.com2019年11月1日在过去 149 次看涨的报告事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 296 次看涨的报告事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
ISTA Mielke's forecast of lower 2020 Malaysian output and a global supply shortfall supports higher prices via expected supply tightness.
Forecasts of lower 2020 Malaysian output and a global supply shortfall, plus rising Chinese vegetable oil imports, support higher prices.
ISTA Mielke's forecast of lower 2020 Malaysian output and a global supply shortfall versus demand supports the tightening-supply narrative on the move date.
