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Canola futures rose strongly in recent weeks on Midwest and western Canada weather concerns, with the November ICE contract gaining $73 per tonne over two weeks to a three-month high. Funds exited short positions, and soybean oil fell about 400 basis points on June 21 after the EPA biofuels announcement.
Weather-driven fund short covering lifts canola prices, while the disappointing EPA biofuel volumes weigh on soybean oil and limit canola gains.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 49 次看跌的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。