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StoneX notes November canola near $830 after a gain of over $100 since June 30, driven by dry Western Canada and lower US soybean acres. The USDA pegs canola production near 20 MMT, while the trade expects 17 to 18 MMT.
If production falls below 19 MMT, export demand rationing would be needed, implying further upside for canola meal and feed supply tightness.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。