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USDA expects US wheat exports of 700 million bushels, the lowest in 52 years, with HRW exports at the lowest since records began in 1973-74. Drought cut US yields and raised prices to the fourth-highest on record, while bumper crops in France and Russia have made US wheat uncompetitive.
Lost export competitiveness and drought-limited supply keep US wheat demand weak, pressuring domestic prices and favouring cheaper Black Sea and EU wheat in feed markets.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 82 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。