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Economist Ken Bailey told the Dairy Financial and Risk Management Conference that US and global dairy demand is suppressed by Federal Reserve rate hikes and slowing growth. He forecasts real GDP growth slowing to 1.9% in 2023 and 0.5% in 2024, and higher dairy prices only once demand recovers around 2025.
Expectations of weak dairy demand through 2024 suggest limited price support for milk and reduced demand for dairy-feed ingredients.
dairyherd.com2023年9月28日在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（33% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%），20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
