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Chinese hog and pork prices fell more than 5% in September 2023 despite the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays, which usually lift demand. Wholesalers report weak consumption and ample supply.
Bloomberg attributes the slump to a slowing economy and financial uncertainty.
Weak pork demand and falling hog prices reduce producer margins and the incentive to restock herds, which lowers near-term feed demand. Persistent economic weakness could keep Chinese feed and meal buying subdued.
在过去 17 次看跌的宏观事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。