
Strategie Grains reports heavy rain is hampering EU winter grain sowing, particularly in France, cutting planted soft wheat area. The EU-27 2024 soft wheat area is estimated 0.9% below 2023, and yields could fall short of potential.
The consultancy raised its 2023 maize estimate to 61 million tonnes and its 2023 soft wheat estimate to 125.8 million tonnes.
Reduced planted area and possible yield losses point to a smaller EU wheat crop in 2024, which supports wheat prices and tightens feed wheat availability.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。