
COCERAL cut its EU-27+UK 2024 grain forecast to 280.3 million tonnes, a 5% cut from June, citing spring rain and low sunshine in western Europe. Soft wheat is pegged at 126 million tonnes, and France had its worst wheat crop in about 40 years.
Lower EU output for wheat, barley and corn reduces exportable supply and supports feed grain prices as the EU imports more or buyers shift to other origins.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Coceral's EU grain forecast cut and France's worst wheat crop in about 40 years tightened exportable supply.