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Refinitiv Commodities Research cut its 2024/25 EU soft wheat production forecast by 0.7 million tonnes to 127.3 million tonnes, and kept rapeseed at 18.6 million tonnes. Paris wheat and rapeseed futures rose after the revision, with December wheat up 2.2% to €219.75/t.
The cut was attributed to delayed sowing and unfavourable weather in western and southern Europe.
A smaller EU wheat and rapeseed crop reduces exportable supply and supports European prices, which also pull up canola meal values and competing feed grain prices.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。