
COCERAL's first forecast for 2024 projects the EU-27+UK total grain crop at 281.7 million tonnes, down from 287.1 million in 2023. Wheat output is seen falling to 134.2 million tonnes and corn to 57.1 million, while barley is forecast to rise to 56.1 million tonnes.
The group linked the wheat decline to record autumn rainfall that hampered winter sowing in France, Germany, the UK and Poland.
A smaller EU wheat and corn crop tightens European feed grain supplies and lifts import demand, supporting world wheat and corn prices. Higher barley output partly offsets the pressure on feed grains.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。