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Phosphate prices to Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay rose sharply this year because of the Middle East war, with Argentine DAP/MAP at $825/t cfr on 19 March, the highest since August 2022. Imports have held up so far but are expected to slow as affordability weakens.
Up to 488,000t of DAP/MAP/TSP has been sold on the spot market for arrival by May.
War-driven phosphate price increases in the Southern Cone threaten to cut import volumes, which could weigh on fertilizer demand and farm input affordability in the region.
argusmedia.comAdrien Seewald2024年3月25日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
