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North Dakota economist Tim Petry says cattle market fundamentals remain tight, with strong demand, but futures will be volatile. Recent declines were attributed largely to avian influenza detections in dairy herds and a human case, which spooked investment funds, while cash prices stayed high.
Investor reaction to disease headlines is driving futures volatility even though tight supplies support prices, so buyers should expect choppy futures pricing around news.
agweek.comJenny Schlecht2024年4月19日在过去 69 次中性的疫病事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（42% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.8% 至 +0.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 29 次中性的疫病事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
