
USDA lowered its 2024 milk production forecast in its April WASDE, with cow numbers unchanged and slower growth in milk per cow. The Class III price forecast fell 95 cents to $16.20 per cwt and the Class IV forecast rose 30 cents to $20.40.
The same report raised US corn feed and ethanol use and lowered ending stocks by 50 million bushels to 2.1 billion, with the season-average farm price cut to $4.70 per bushel.
Lower milk output is supportive, but the lower Class III forecast signals weaker cheese and whey values. Smaller corn ending stocks with higher feed and ethanol use tighten the corn balance and support feed grain prices.
在过去 136 次中性的报告事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。