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Brazil's 2025/26 corn estimate was cut by 1.0 million tons to 136.0 million tons with a neutral bias. Conab reduced safrinha acreage by 200,000 hectares in its February report, and planting was 31% complete nationally with a significant share of the crop still unplanted.
A smaller Brazilian safrinha crop tightens export supply just as Brazil dominates the second-half corn export window, which supports corn prices. Further acreage cuts in the March report would add to the bullish case.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。