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Unfavourable weather has affected EU grain production through the 2023/24 season. Excess rain since autumn hindered planting and development of winter crops in large parts of western, northern and eastern Europe.
Rainfall deficits persisted in eastern Romania and Bulgaria, where winter rapeseed is the worst affected.
Lower European winter crop yields and resowing of northern fields tighten wheat and barley supply, supporting prices. Drought in the east adds to the downside risk.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。