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An Amundi research note from July 26, 2024 argues that diverging central bank policy rates are unlikely to move exchange rates much. It flags US long-end yields and energy price shocks as the bigger risks for European currencies.
The note frames currency risk around energy shocks rather than rate gaps, which matters for buyers pricing euro-denominated feed costs against dollar benchmarks.
research-center.amundi.comAmundi2024年7月26日在过去 129 次中性的宏观事件之后，欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +0.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
