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Spot gold fell more than 2% below $2,600 on December 18 after the Fed cut rates but its dot plot showed only two cuts for 2025. Powell said inflation risks remain tilted to the upside and that the 2% target could take one to two years to reach.
The hawkish dot plot lifts real yields and the dollar, pressuring gold and other dollar-priced commodities. Feed buyers should expect firmer dollar conditions to weigh on import-currency purchasing power into 2025.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。