
The yuan hovered near a 16-month low against the dollar despite PBOC support measures, including raised corporate borrowing limits abroad. Pressure came from a stronger dollar after US jobs data, falling Chinese bond yields and trade tensions.
Trade data for December beat expectations, partly from front-loading ahead of possible tariffs.
Persistent yuan weakness and the tariff front-loading signal can shift Chinese import timing and currency-driven buying of US soybeans and meal, favoring Brazilian origins at the margin.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。